A person X speaks the truth 4 out of 5 times and person Y speaks the truth 5 out of 6 times. What is the probability that they will contradict each other in stating the fact?

  1. A. 3/10
  2. B. 1/15
  3. C. 1/6
  4. D. 7/10

Correct Answer: A. 3/10

Explanation

Let P(X) = \frac{4}{5} and P(Y) = \frac{5}{6} be the probabilities of speaking the truth. They contradict each other when X speaks the truth and Y lies, or when X lies and Y speaks the truth. This is calculated as P(X)P(Y') + P(X')P(Y) = (\frac{4}{5})(\frac{1}{6}) + (\frac{1}{5})(\frac{5}{6}) = \frac{4}{30} + \frac{5}{30} = \frac{9}{30} = \frac{3}{10}.

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