A person X speaks the truth 4 out of 5 times and person Y speaks the truth 5 out of 6 times. What is the probability that they will contradict each other in stating the fact?
- A. 3/10 ✓
- B. 1/15
- C. 1/6
- D. 7/10
Correct Answer: A. 3/10
Explanation
Let P(X) = \frac{4}{5} and P(Y) = \frac{5}{6} be the probabilities of speaking the truth. They contradict each other when X speaks the truth and Y lies, or when X lies and Y speaks the truth. This is calculated as P(X)P(Y') + P(X')P(Y) = (\frac{4}{5})(\frac{1}{6}) + (\frac{1}{5})(\frac{5}{6}) = \frac{4}{30} + \frac{5}{30} = \frac{9}{30} = \frac{3}{10}.
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